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THE SINGLE CURRENCY. THE EURO    September 1997
 
José Luis Hernández Socorro Curriculo
Accountant. Director of Gestiones.com
 
If you like the shirt that you have just seen in a shop window in Spain, you have to force yourself to translate the price into pesetas. The problem is that not only are you not sure of the exact exchange rate but neither do you know how much you will be charged from your current account when you pay with your credit card. In a few years this situation will disappear.

The stopwatch has begun. From the year 2002 the european countries will be able to have the same currency: the euro. However a hard exam must be passed in order to become one of the countries with a single currency. The objective is to have similar economies within the countries and the exam is called the convergency plan. There will be four constraints to be met in order to pass the exam:

1. Public deficit. Not allowed to be more than 3% of the Gross Domestic Product.

2. Inflation. The average of the three countries with lowest consumer price rates will not to exceed 1.5%

3. Foreign Debt. The total debt of country headquarters (central, autonomic and local) must not exceed 60% of the Gross Domestic Product.

At the moment only Luxembourg would pass this exam. For that reason the interested countries in the euro must carry out big economic changes and most of the time these will not be popular measures.

 
Advantages of having a single currency
 

1. In Spain the interest rates will be lower thus the cost of credit will be less.

2. There will be no need to exchange money (and pay expensive commissiones) in order to travel around Europe. This will be a great benefit to the intraeurope tourist, to be able to dismiss the commissiones charged on the purchase and sale of foreign currency. Nowadays, an imaginary tourist that might go out of Spain with 1.000 pesetas would come back with only 500 pesetas because of the commissions he would have to pay.

3. The european companies will be able to buy and sell merchandise and services with the same currency, without the risk of it fluctuating.

4. The structure of the European Economy with be better as the creation of employment will increase.

5. The conditiones in order to compete with the dollar and the Yen will be better.

6. The exchange speculators will not be able to influence the value of money. The idea of the euro does not appeal to the banks and saving societies because they will lose business in the exchange market, and as well as this they will have to adapt all their computer systems to the new currency. Neither do the speculators nor the intermediate fincancers like the idea that today they do business playing with the differences between the interest rates of different countries.

 
Inconvenience of the single currency
 

1) Companies and people will have to make up for the elevated costs derived from the convergence process. This will have to comply very much with the established conditions for the euro.

2) The banks and the saving societies will lose important financial incomes via the equality of interest rates.

3) The countries will lose sovereignty in the monetary matter.

4) If the there are few European nations they could divide themselves even further apart: into rich countries and poor countries.

5) Unemployment could increase if the trade unions demand a rapid salary comparison.

 
Summary
 
If everything turns out to plan the single currency will create a stable economic space and moderate inflation, both of which will generate eleven million jobs in four years, according to the calculations made by the European Commission. Whichever way one must wait to see what happens in the future with the constraints that must be met and the practical position of the currency.
 
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