China is the country with the
largest population on the Earth: it is in the region of
1300 million inhabitants, which is equivalent to a third
part of Asia’s population and a fifth of the world
total. Nowadays the population’s growth is scarce:
the fecundity rate is 1.8 children per woman. The main objective
of this antinatalist policy has been accomplished, and it
has been more moderate and permissive since 2002. Currently
the growth rate of the Chinese population is 0.7%. The decrease
in the birth number is due to the birth rate control during
the last decades. The three quarter parts of the population
live in the countryside, therefore it is an especially rural
country.
The Chinese economy increased
11.4% in 2007, three tenths more than in 2006, over 10%
during five years uninterruptedly, and the highest one in
the last fourteen years, reason why it holds the fourth
post in the world. In a few decades China will become the
first world economic power. As an example, in August 2007
it managed, for the first time, to export more than any
other country in the world. So China is behind the U.S.A.,
Japan and almost reaching Germany.
Such an amazing economic growth
of China has raised its per capita income much, thus providing
the population of the People’s Republic of China with
more wellbeing. But the meteoric development of the Chinese
economy has not been free from a high social and environmental
cost for the country. There is a lot of talk about China
and its inhabitants, but a little about the small percentage
that has enough money to eat meat, quality oil and farinaceous
products. The vast majority (perhaps 1000 million) are the
ones who usually live on rice and vegetables.
The government’s main competitive
strategy to attract foreign investment has been to offer
fiscal incentive packages and an extremely lax regulating
framework pertaining to labour rights and environmental
protection, which together with the low cost of initial
investment and manpower has turned the Asian nation into
the first worldwide destination of direct foreign investment.
Attracted by the low cost of salaries and the workers’
submissiveness, international companies moved increasingly
their production lines to China (“the workshop of
the world”). On its turn, Chinese companies began
to establish themselves outside the national boundaries.
The most outstanding case has been the acquisition of the
computer division of the North American company IBM on part
of Lenovo Chinese enterprise. However, this development
is not free from trouble. In 2007 China became the biggest
emitter of gases contributing to the greenhouse effect,
thus getting past the United States (in per capita terms,
still around a third). It will exceed the United States’
CO2 emissions in a decade, and it has the doubtful honour
of housing sixteen out of the twenty most polluted cities
in the world.
From the tourist viewpoint, China
will keep its unstoppable advance in the list of the favourite
international tourist destinations and will occupy the third
place in 2008. The favourite tourist destination continues
to be France, followed by Spain and the United States. In
2006 United States received 51.1 million tourists, only
slightly ahead of China, with 49.6 million.
If China maintains its economic
rhythm, it will turn into the biggest worldwide economy
in twenty years, getting past United States. If the Chinese
growth continues, its consumption market will be the second
one in the world by 2015. Chinese already consume 32% of
all the rice which is produced in the world, use 47% of
the cement to build and smoke one of every three cigarettes.
Regarding the present year 2008,
the Chinese Prime Minister said that this will be “the
most complicated year for the Chinese economy”. The
uncertainty in the international markets, the business sector
bad results and a sky-high inflation are taking their toll
on the Chinese market and economy.
To all this an increasingly weaker
real-estate market adds up, and the point is that the international
real-estate problems have not left China untouched.
In conclusion, it will be the
first world power in few years, with more influence on import
and export. Therefore, it is to be taken into account that
English will not be the leading language anymore, and Chinese
will have to be taught in Western schools as the language
of the future.